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The Cornerhold Journal

MarketsLatest, Nov 6

10-year Treasury4.86%up 0.02

SOFR3.92%down 0.02

30-year mortgage rate7.18%down 0.06

CMBS delinquency8.02%up 0.17

U.S. office vacancy18.2%down 0.1

Sources: U.S. Treasury, daily par yield curve rates, Nov 6 (10-year Treasury); Federal Reserve Bank of New York, SOFR, Nov 5 (SOFR); Freddie Mac, Primary Mortgage Market Survey, Nov 5 (30-year mortgage rate); Trepp, Sep 30 (CMBS delinquency); CBRE, Q3 2026 U.S. Office Market Report, Sep 30 (U.S. office vacancy)

Rates outlook

A strong October jobs report lifts the odds of a December Fed hike to about 77%

Hiring beat forecasts by a wide margin, and markets now lean toward another rate increase before year end.

Employers added 165,000 jobs in October, far above a consensus estimate near 59,000, and the unemployment rate slipped to 4.1%, CNBC reported. August and September were revised up by a combined 84,000 jobs.

Hourly pay rose 3.1% from a year earlier. Transportation and warehousing, a sector that drives demand for industrial space, added 25,000 jobs.

After the report, futures pricing put the odds of a quarter point rate increase at the Fed's Dec. 8 to 9 meeting at roughly 77%.

A firmer labor market makes another increase more likely just as many owners face a heavy wave of loans coming due in 2027.

Source: CNBC, Nov 6, 2026

Capital flows

BREIT has sold about $7 billion of non-core assets this year and moved the money into data centers

The largest non-traded real estate fund is concentrating in AI infrastructure as local politics turn against it.

Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust reported a second straight quarter of positive net flows and said it has sold about $7 billion of non-core assets in 2026, including its remaining self-storage, about $852 million net, and manufactured housing, according to CRE Daily.

The proceeds funded $9.1 billion of pre-leased QTS data center development so far this year, $3.4 billion of it in the third quarter. By Sept. 30, QTS made up 29% of BREIT's real estate value, ahead of industrial at 20% and multifamily at 17%, with a pipeline of about $30 billion that is nearly fully pre-leased.

The shift comes as midterm ballot measures and governor's races turned against new power-hungry projects in several places.

For ownersOwners selling storage or manufactured housing may want to watch how much large-fund capital is leaving those sectors.

Source: CRE Daily, Nov 6, 2026

Lenders

Starwood Property Trust posts a $389.7 million third quarter loss on a large credit provision

One of the largest commercial real estate lenders booked a nine figure provision as higher rates squeezed borrowers.

Starwood Property Trust reported a GAAP loss of about $389.7 million for the third quarter, driven mostly by a $336.6 million provision for credit losses, Commercial Observer reported. Higher rates raised debt service burdens and weighed on collateral values.

Chief executive Barry Sternlicht called the quarter difficult but said the balance sheet and liquidity remain strong, and that the company expects to resolve nearly half of its underperforming assets.

For ownersBorrowers with a debt fund or mortgage REIT lender may find it useful to know how that lender is handling troubled loans before talks on an extension begin.

Source: Commercial Observer, Nov 6, 2026

Office debt

KBS REIT III gets only weeks of extra time on $455 million of office loans

Short extensions on large office loans suggest lenders are losing patience.

Nontraded KBS REIT III pushed the maturity of the $317.4 million loan on Chicago's 1.5 million square foot Accenture Tower to Dec. 17, with a possible extension to November 2027 for a $400,000 fee, Bisnow reported.

The $137.8 million Bank of America loan on two office buildings in Arlington, Va., now matures Jan. 20 with no further extension. The REIT's SEC filing says it may hand back either property or seek bankruptcy protection if refinancing fails, and it raised doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.

For ownersOffice borrowers expecting a long extension may want to start refinancing talks early, since short extensions are becoming more common.

Source: Bisnow, Nov 6, 2026

Page 2 · Los Angeles to Ventura edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Monday, November 9, 2026

Regional edition

Los Angeles to Ventura

Los Angeles, Orange and Ventura counties

Local marketsLatest, Sep 30

L.A. office vacancy25.3%down 0.1

L.A. office asking rent, mo.$4.07

L.A. industrial vacancy5.0%down 0.2

O.C. industrial vacancy5.5%unchanged 0.0

O.C. retail vacancy (Colliers)3.55%down 0.25

Sources: CBRE, Los Angeles Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (L.A. office vacancy, L.A. office asking rent, mo.); CBRE, Los Angeles Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (L.A. industrial vacancy); CBRE, Orange County Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (O.C. industrial vacancy); Commercial Observer, Sep 30 (O.C. retail vacancy (Colliers))

Hollywood office

Hudson Pacific seeks a Netflix extension on 722,000 square feet of Hollywood offices

The renewal is tied to refinancing a $1.1 billion loan, as the REIT pulls back from studio services.

Hudson Pacific told investors it hopes to settle by year end an extension of Netflix's 722,305 square feet of Hollywood office leases beyond 2031, The Registry SoCal reported. The decision is tied to refinancing the $1.1 billion Hollywood Media Portfolio loan.

The REIT is also winding down its Quixote studio services business and weighing an exit from the nearly vacant Sunset Glenoaks Studios in Sun Valley. It has taken the 130,000 square foot Fourth and Traction office offline for a seismic retrofit.

With production still depressed, the Netflix decision is likely to set the tone for Hollywood office and studio debt.

Sources: The Registry SoCal, Nov 6, 2026; The Registry SoCal, Nov 6, 2026

Industrial land

Cabot Properties buys an entitled Torrance site approved for a 122,533 square foot warehouse

Shovel-ready infill land near the ports remains scarce in the South Bay.

JLL Capital Markets arranged the Nov. 6 sale of a 5.42 acre industrial redevelopment site at 19701 Hamilton Avenue in Torrance from a Brookfield-backed fund to Cabot Properties, according to JLL.

The permit-ready parcel is approved for a 122,533 square foot Class A industrial building about 11 miles from the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, and it sits in a federally designated Opportunity Zone. Brookfield's team secured the entitlements before selling.

For ownersSouth Bay owners holding older industrial land may find that entitlements add real value when it comes time to sell.

Source: JLL, Nov 6, 2026

Hotels

Lenders move to foreclose on the Godfrey Hotel Hollywood after a $59.1 million default

The five-year-old hotel was valued at $114 million in a 2022 recapitalization.

An AllianceBernstein-led lender group recorded a notice of default on $59.1 million of debt tied to the 220-key Godfrey Hotel Hollywood at 1400 N. Cahuenga Blvd., after the loan matured this year unpaid, the Los Angeles Business Journal reported.

A 2022 recapitalization valued the five-year-old hotel at $114 million, or about $518,000 a key. Hollywood's pre-pandemic wave of new hotels is now running into loan maturities.

For ownersHotel owners with maturities next year may want to talk with their lenders well before the due date.

Source: Los Angeles Business Journal, Nov 9, 2026

Leasing

An unnamed tenant takes 71,992 square feet at the Taft Building at Hollywood and Vine

A large lease in a century-old tower stands out in a submarket with 23.1% direct vacancy.

The lease fills more than half of the 12-story Taft Building, built in 1923, which Elat Properties bought in 2023 when it was 38% leased, The Registry SoCal reported.

Hollywood direct office vacancy sits at 23.1%, making a lease this size a rare bright spot in a submarket hit by the production slump.

For ownersOwners of older Hollywood buildings may find this deal a useful example when pitching character space to larger tenants.

Source: The Registry SoCal, Nov 7, 2026

Page 3 · Miami to West Palm Beach edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Monday, November 9, 2026

Regional edition

Miami to West Palm Beach

Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties

Local marketsLatest, Sep 30

Miami office vacancy14.5%down 0.2

Miami office asking rent, yr.$70.62

Miami industrial vacancy6.9%down 0.4

Fort Lauderdale office vacancy18.8%

Broward industrial vacancy6.9%

Sources: CBRE, Miami Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Miami office vacancy, Miami office asking rent, yr.); CBRE, Miami Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Miami industrial vacancy); CBRE, Fort Lauderdale Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Fort Lauderdale office vacancy); CBRE, Broward Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Broward industrial vacancy)

Mixed-use

CP Group and partners buy back Boca Raton's Mizner Park from a Brookfield affiliate

The original developer is reclaiming a Palm Beach County landmark and plans a large renovation.

A joint venture of CP Group, The Georgetown Co., ACRE and StepStone acquired Mizner Park, the 838,840 square foot open-air mixed-use complex at 327 E. Plaza Real in downtown Boca Raton, from a BGRE and Brookfield affiliate, Bisnow reported.

The 30-acre property includes about 268,000 square feet of office, 276,000 square feet of retail and 272 apartments. The price was not disclosed; an earlier marketing round drew a reported $290 million bid. Blackstone provided acquisition financing, arranged by JLL.

The new owners plan multimillion dollar renovations to facades, streetscapes, offices and the retail tenant mix.

Source: Bisnow, Nov 6, 2026

Condo finance

Developer says an equity partner is lined up for the Dolce and Gabbana tower at 888 Brickell

A roughly $640 million construction loan is targeted by year end, but one more piece of equity is still needed.

Michael Stern told The Real Deal he has an unnamed equity partner for the branded condo tower at 888 Brickell Avenue, The American Developer reported, and still needs a final equity piece before closing a roughly $640 million construction loan by year end.

JDS paid about $61.2 million for the half-acre site, financed with a $35.7 million loan from G4 Capital Partners. Newmark listed the project for sale last month as JDS sought a minority partner.

For ownersBrickell owners may want to watch whether this loan closes, since it would restart one of the area's most visible stalled luxury projects.

Source: The American Developer (citing The Real Deal), Nov 6, 2026

Industrial

Dalfen gets a $26 million loan to replace a Davie bowling alley with a 151,000 square foot warehouse

Bank construction debt is still flowing to Broward industrial projects on former retail land.

Dalfen Industrial borrowed $26 million from CIBC Bank USA to demolish the closed Sparez bowling alley at 5325 S. University Drive in Davie and build a 151,000 square foot warehouse with 35-foot clear height, Private Wealth Daily reported.

Dalfen bought the 16.2 acre site for $17.5 million in late 2025. The plan includes 292 parking spaces and 53 truck and trailer stalls.

For ownersOwners of aging Broward retail sites may find that banks will fund an industrial redevelopment where zoning allows.

Source: Private Wealth Daily (citing Connect CRE / SFBJ), Nov 6, 2026

Development

Foundation work starts on the Alida Residences and a Tribute Portfolio hotel by West Palm Beach's Brightline station

A rezoning more than doubled the allowed density in exchange for the hotel.

LD&D and IGEQ, with FrontRange Capital Partners, are installing piles for the roughly 350,000 square foot project at 506 and 524 Datura Street across from the Brightline station, Florida YIMBY reported.

The project pairs a 21-story, 181-unit rental tower with a separate Marriott Tribute Portfolio hotel. A rezoning raised the allowed floor area ratio from 2.75 to 6.5 in exchange for the hotel.

For ownersDowntown West Palm Beach landowners near transit may want to note how the city traded extra density for a hotel here.

Source: Florida YIMBY, Nov 8, 2026

Page 3 of 7Miami to West Palm Beach editionMonday, November 9, 2026The Cornerhold JournalNew York ›
Page 4 · New York edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Monday, November 9, 2026

Regional edition

New York

The five boroughs, Long Island, Westchester and northern New Jersey

Local marketsLatest, Sep 30

Manhattan office availability13.7%down 0.7

Manhattan asking rent, yr.$80.40

Manhattan Q3 office leasing7.10M sf

North and Central NJ industrial vacancy7.3%down 0.3

Sources: CBRE, Manhattan Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Manhattan office availability, Manhattan asking rent, yr., Manhattan Q3 office leasing); CBRE, Q3 2026 Northern and Central NJ Industrial Figures, Sep 30 (North and Central NJ industrial vacancy)

Office sales

Bushburg is in contract to buy 60 Wall Street from GIC for $400 million, about $250 a square foot

The contract price is about 62% below what the seller paid in 2017, and the buyer specializes in conversions.

Bushburg Properties is in contract to buy the 1.6 million square foot Financial District tower at 60 Wall Street from Singapore's GIC for $400 million, Commercial Observer reported, citing The Real Deal.

The price is about 62% below the $1.04 billion GIC paid for a 95% stake in 2017, or roughly $250 a square foot against about $650 then.

Bushburg specializes in office to residential conversions. Deutsche Bank left the former JPMorgan headquarters in 2021. The deal has not closed.

Source: Commercial Observer, Nov 6, 2026

Leasing

Modal Labs signs for 156,763 square feet at Rudin's 32 Avenue of the Americas

Another large AI lease lands in Lower Manhattan despite the post-election tech selloff.

AI cloud company Modal Labs signed a 156,763 square foot lease at 32 Avenue of the Americas in Tribeca, according to CBRE's October Manhattan office report, Commercial Observer reported. It plans to move from 233 Spring Street in mid-2027.

Term and rent were not disclosed. The Lower Manhattan average asking rent was $62.68 a square foot in October. Rudin has owned the former AT&T tower since 1999.

For ownersLower Manhattan owners with large blocks may want to keep AI companies on their prospect lists.

Sources: Commercial Observer, Nov 6, 2026; New York Business Journal, Nov 5, 2026

Office market

Manhattan office leasing hit 3.46 million square feet in October as sublease space fell below 10 million

Less sublease space gives Manhattan landlords more leverage heading into 2027.

CBRE counted 3.46 million square feet of Manhattan office leasing in October, 61% above the five-year monthly average, with asking rents up 6% from a year earlier to $81.61 a square foot, the New York Post reported.

Cushman and Wakefield tallied 26.6 million square feet leased so far this year, and put sublease inventory at 9.9 million square feet, the first single digit reading since October 2019.

For ownersManhattan landlords heading into renewals may have more pricing power as cheap sublease options shrink.

Source: New York Post, Nov 8, 2026

Multifamily

Atlas Capital Group buys a 256-unit Hell's Kitchen rental tower for $142.5 million

Private capital is still paying up for cash-flowing Manhattan rentals.

Atlas Capital Group bought the 23-story building at 360 West 43rd Street from a Brodsky Organization entity in an off-market deal, Commercial Observer reported.

The 250,000 square foot property includes 13,000 square feet of ground floor retail leased to Mattress Firm and TD Bank, plus a parking garage. StreetEasy showed no vacant units. Atlas earlier bought 250 East Houston Street for $112 million this year.

For ownersOwners of fully occupied Manhattan rentals may find private buyers still active for off-market deals.

Source: Commercial Observer, Nov 6, 2026

Page 4 of 7New York editionMonday, November 9, 2026The Cornerhold JournalAustin ›
Page 5 · Austin edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Monday, November 9, 2026

Regional edition

Austin

Travis, Williamson and Hays counties

Local marketsLatest, Oct 20

Austin office vacancy23.6%up 0.4

Office net absorption, Q3253K sf

Industrial net absorption, Q31.22M sf

Class A office asking rent, yr. (ECR)$39.61

Sources: CBRE, Austin Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Austin office vacancy, Office net absorption, Q3); CBRE, Austin Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Industrial net absorption, Q3); ECR, Oct 20 (Class A office asking rent, yr. (ECR))

Office subleases

Meta and Indeed hold Austin's two largest downtown office sublease blocks

Two big blocks keep Class A availability high downtown.

Meta and Indeed offer the metro's two largest office sublease availabilities, both downtown, among seven blocks above 150,000 square feet, the Austin Business Journal reported Nov. 6.

Meta's remaining offering at Sixth and Guadalupe is a little over 456,000 square feet, down from a 589,000 square foot lease it never occupied. Indeed's entire Indeed Tower at 200 West 6th Street, about 308,000 square feet, is on the sublease market, and Indeed has said it would consolidate at The Domain if a subtenant takes the tower.

The two blocks keep Class A availability high downtown, pressuring rents and concessions.

Source: Austin Business Journal, Nov 6, 2026

Mixed-use

Manifold nearly doubles its 6th and Walsh project to 612,000 square feet

The plans are still under city review.

Manifold Development's 6th and Walsh project near downtown has grown to about 612,000 square feet across 10 stories with 188 homes, roughly double its earlier scope, the Austin Business Journal reported.

The plans, first filed in April, remain under city review and are not yet approved.

For ownersOwners near West Sixth may want to follow the review, since the project would add a lot of density nearby.

Source: Austin Business Journal, Nov 6, 2026

Data centers

Hutto asks Texas to curb sales tax breaks for large data centers

The Williamson County suburb hosts two large data center campuses.

Hutto City Council voted unanimously to ask the state to change rules that let qualifying large data centers avoid sales tax, sending the resolution to the Texas Municipal League ahead of its conference, the Austin American-Statesman reported.

The Williamson County suburb of about 43,000 people hosts Skybox's planned PowerCampus of at least 600 MW and Colovore's 40 MW campus on 30 acres. The council also restarted a data center noise study.

For ownersLandowners pitching sites to data center users may want to factor in that local incentives could shrink.

Source: Austin American-Statesman (via Yahoo News), Nov 7, 2026

Downtown

Project Bolo seeks a rezoning for a Congress Avenue tower of up to 1,200 feet

The request would test the height limits that protect views of the Capitol.

Project Bolo filed to rezone 402 and 408 Congress Avenue for a mixed-use tower of 750 to 1,200 feet with 87 condominiums, 221 hotel rooms and a restaurant, Our Austin reported, citing the Austin Business Journal.

The site partly sits in a Capitol View Corridor, which has long limited heights to protect views of the Texas Capitol. At the top of the range it could be among the tallest towers in Texas. City review is pending.

For ownersDowntown owners in or near a Capitol View Corridor may want to follow this case, since it could test how firmly those height limits hold.

Source: Our Austin (citing Austin Business Journal), Nov 5, 2026

Page 7 · All editions

The Cornerhold Journal

Monday, November 9, 2026

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