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The Cornerhold Journal

MarketsLatest, Nov 3

10-year Treasury4.95%up 0.04

SOFR3.95%unchanged 0.00

30-year mortgage rate7.24%down 0.08

CMBS delinquency8.02%up 0.17

U.S. office vacancy18.2%down 0.1

Sources: U.S. Treasury, daily par yield curve rates, Nov 3 (10-year Treasury); Federal Reserve Bank of New York, SOFR, Nov 2 (SOFR); Freddie Mac, Primary Mortgage Market Survey, Oct 29 (30-year mortgage rate); Trepp, Sep 30 (CMBS delinquency); CBRE, Q3 2026 U.S. Office Market Report, Sep 30 (U.S. office vacancy)

Washington policy

Democrats take both chambers of Congress, setting up a divided Washington on housing and tax policy

With a Republican president holding the veto, the next two years are likely to run on bipartisan deals.

The Associated Press projected that Democrats won control of the House and the Senate in Tuesday's midterm elections, flipping Senate seats in states including Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Iowa and both Carolinas. The party reached the 218 seats needed for a House majority early Wednesday, and some House races are still being counted.

With a Republican president holding a veto, near-term legislation is likely to be limited to bipartisan deals. Housing tax incentives, such as an expanded Low-Income Housing Tax Credit, are widely cited as the first test.

For property owners, the new Congress will shape the 2027 tax agenda, oversight of tariffs on building materials, CDBG and HOME funding, and any changes to the 1031 exchange or depreciation rules owners rely on.

Sources: Associated Press, Nov 4, 2026; Realtor.com, Nov 4, 2026

Capital markets

Blackstone's Apartment Income REIT lines up a $3.3 billion CMBS refinancing on 29 properties

A jumbo floating-rate deal shows the bond market is still open to big, well-occupied portfolios.

Blackstone's Apartment Income REIT is set to take a two-year, floating-rate CMBS loan of $3.3 billion on 29 properties with 9,389 units across eight states and Washington, D.C., according to a KBRA presale report cited by Multi-Housing News.

Seven banks co-originated the loan, which is expected to close around Nov. 24. It retires $3.1 billion of debt and returns $156.5 million of equity. Florida and California make up about 65% of the allocated loan amount, and the largest assets are in Miami Beach and Costa Mesa.

The deal shows the CMBS market is still open for big, well-occupied portfolios even as special servicing sits at post-2013 highs.

For ownersOwners of stabilized properties with loans maturing soon may want to ask their mortgage broker to price a CMBS option alongside bank and debt fund quotes.

Source: Multi-Housing News, Nov 3, 2026

Data centers

A Georgia county delays its vote on OpenAI's 1,347-acre Project Camellia data center campus

Commissioners want a written noise commitment and plan to discuss a data center moratorium.

Effingham County, Georgia, commissioners voted unanimously Tuesday night to delay a vote on OpenAI's Project Camellia site plan until Nov. 17, the Effingham Herald reported. The plan covers about 1,347 acres with six data center buildings, two substations and roughly 1,600 parking spaces.

One commissioner wanted a written commitment to a 20-foot noise berm, and the board said it will discuss a data center moratorium at its next meeting.

Even hyperscale campuses that were approved in principle are hitting late-stage local friction, which affects timelines for land, power and industrial users nearby.

For ownersOwners of land or industrial sites near a proposed data center campus may want to follow the local hearing calendar before pricing a sale or lease around it.

Sources: Effingham Herald, Nov 4, 2026; WTOC, Nov 3, 2026

Page 2 · Los Angeles to Ventura edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Regional edition

Los Angeles to Ventura

Los Angeles, Orange and Ventura counties

Local marketsLatest, Sep 30

L.A. office vacancy25.3%down 0.1

L.A. office asking rent, mo.$4.07

L.A. industrial vacancy5.0%down 0.2

O.C. industrial vacancy5.5%unchanged 0.0

O.C. retail vacancy (Colliers)3.55%down 0.25

Sources: CBRE, Los Angeles Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (L.A. office vacancy, L.A. office asking rent, mo.); CBRE, Los Angeles Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (L.A. industrial vacancy); CBRE, Orange County Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (O.C. industrial vacancy); Commercial Observer, Sep 30 (O.C. retail vacancy (Colliers))

Loan distress

Brookfield gives up the 785-unit Beaudry tower in downtown LA rather than refinance a $360 million loan

A nearly full tower that opened in 2023 shows how far higher rates have cut into downtown equity.

Brookfield is walking away from the Beaudry, a 64-story, 785-unit apartment tower in downtown Los Angeles valued at about $600 million, instead of refinancing a roughly $360 million loan, The Registry reported, following an original report by The Wall Street Journal. A refinancing at today's rates would have cost tens of millions of dollars more.

The tower opened in April 2023 and is about 95% occupied, but its asking rents near $4,200 are below Brookfield's targets. The lender, Apollo-owned Bridge Investment Group, is marketing the loan.

A sponsor handing back a nearly full, new tower shows how higher rates are wiping out equity downtown, where Brookfield has also defaulted on nearby office loans.

Sources: The Registry SoCal, Nov 3, 2026; CRE Daily, Nov 3, 2026

Ballot measures

California's Prop 45 CEQA fast track trails 54% to 46% as the count continues

If it fails, CEQA timelines stay a major cost and risk for California development, including mall and parking lot projects.

With a little over half the vote counted early Wednesday, Prop 45 was losing about 54% to 46%, CalMatters reported. The measure would cap environmental reviews for essential projects at 365 business days and require CEQA lawsuits to be resolved within 270 days.

Supporters, led by the California Chamber of Commerce, spent about $41 million, against roughly $30 million on the other side. The race has not been called, many ballots remain, and the state certifies results on Dec. 11.

Separately, Prop 42, which would bar new state taxes on personal property including business interests, led about 54.5% to 45.5%, according to the California Today results guide.

For ownersOwners planning a California redevelopment may want to keep CEQA review time and litigation risk in their schedules until the count is final.

Sources: CalMatters, Nov 4, 2026; California Today, Nov 4, 2026

Sales tax

LA's half-cent sales tax for the Fire Department and a planning overhaul lead in early returns

A 10.75% rate would rank among California's highest, while Charter Amendment PL aims to speed permits.

Measure FD, which would raise the City of Los Angeles sales tax from 10.25% to 10.75% to add about $345 million a year for the Fire Department, was leading Tuesday night, the Los Angeles Times reported. The returns were early and partial, and no margin was given.

Charter Amendment PL, which consolidates the city's planning functions to speed building and business openings, was also ahead. Proposition TE, exempting qualifying Palisades fire-damaged homes from the ULA transfer tax for one sale, led with about 65% yes in later counts, according to NBC Los Angeles results.

A 10.75% rate would be among the highest in the state, a cost for city retailers, while PL could shorten permitting timelines for owners.

For ownersRetail landlords in the city with percentage-rent leases may want to watch how a higher sales tax shows up in tenant sales.

Source: Los Angeles Times, Nov 3, 2026

Office market

Orange County is down to 12 office blocks of 50,000 square feet or more, JLL counts

Irvine Spectrum holds about half of the big spaces left for large tenants.

A new JLL analysis counts just 12 contiguous Orange County office blocks of at least 50,000 square feet, totaling roughly 1.2 million square feet, The Registry reported. Irvine Spectrum holds about half of them.

The squeeze follows a third quarter in which county leasing reached 2.1 million square feet and average asking rents climbed to a five-year high of $2.93 per square foot, according to earlier Registry coverage of quarterly market reports.

Large tenants such as defense and healthcare firms have few options, which supports rents and pre-leasing for owners of big contiguous space.

For ownersOwners with a large contiguous block coming available may want to ask their leasing broker how the thin supply affects pricing.

Source: The Registry SoCal, Nov 3, 2026

Page 3 · Miami to West Palm Beach edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Regional edition

Miami to West Palm Beach

Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties

Local marketsLatest, Sep 30

Miami office vacancy14.5%down 0.2

Miami office asking rent, yr.$70.62

Miami industrial vacancy6.9%down 0.4

Fort Lauderdale office vacancy18.8%

Broward industrial vacancy6.9%

Sources: CBRE, Miami Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Miami office vacancy, Miami office asking rent, yr.); CBRE, Miami Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Miami industrial vacancy); CBRE, Fort Lauderdale Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Fort Lauderdale office vacancy); CBRE, Broward Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Broward industrial vacancy)

Property tax

Florida voters pass Amendment 3, cutting the cap on commercial assessment increases to 5%

Commercial owners get a tighter cap from 2027, but local budgets will feel the homestead cuts.

Amendment 3 cleared the 60% threshold with about 62% of the vote, roughly 4.92 million yes to 3.02 million no in unofficial state results, the Tallahassee Democrat reported.

Starting Jan. 1, 2027, it cuts the annual cap on assessment increases for commercial and other non-homestead property from 10% to 5%. It also raises the non-school homestead exemption to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028. Florida TaxWatch estimates a $4.9 billion cut in local property taxes in the first year.

The lower cap helps commercial owners in rising markets, but local governments losing homestead revenue may raise millage rates or fees that land on commercial bills.

Sources: Tallahassee Democrat, Nov 3, 2026; NBC Miami, Nov 3, 2026

Office sales

Grover Corlew buys Fort Lauderdale's 200 East Broward tower for $69.7 million, under $300 a foot

A $63.4 million loan includes money for leasing, spec suites and capital work.

Banyan Street Capital sold the 21-story, 235,211 square foot tower at 200 East Broward Blvd. to Grover Corlew for $69.7 million, about $296 a square foot, according to JLL, which arranged the sale and financing. The building is 75% leased, with tenants including Greenspoon Marder and PNC Bank.

BridgeInvest provided a three-year, $63.4 million acquisition loan, funding $46.2 million at closing and $17.2 million later for leasing costs, spec suites and capital work.

A downtown Class A tower trading below $300 a foot, with debt that funds the lease-up, is a fresh pricing marker for Broward office.

For ownersBroward office owners have a new per-foot comp and an example of lease-up money built into acquisition debt.

Source: JLL (press release), Nov 2, 2026

Industrial financing

Wells Fargo lifts LBA Realty's loan on Dolphin Commerce Center to $133 million

The five-warehouse campus near Dolphin Mall gets $83 million of added debt.

Wells Fargo increased a 2022 loan on LBA Realty's 709,480 square foot Dolphin Commerce Center in Sweetwater by $83 million, to $133 million, according to mortgage records cited by Commercial Observer. LBA did not comment.

The five-warehouse, 37-acre campus near Dolphin Mall dates to the late 1990s. LBA paid $198 million for it in 2022, and about 36,000 square feet is currently available.

For ownersMiami industrial owners with room in their loans may want to ask their lender whether an upsized loan is possible.

Source: Commercial Observer, Nov 3, 2026

Public land

Miami Beach voters reject a $50 million office expansion at city-owned 1691 Michigan Ave.

The ground lease changes would have added about 47,000 square feet of offices off Lincoln Road.

About 63% of Miami Beach voters rejected ground lease amendments for Rivani's project at the city-owned site at 1691 Michigan Ave., just off Lincoln Road, the South Florida Business Journal reported.

The changes would have allowed roughly 47,000 square feet of new offices and a rooftop restaurant above the garage, plus two 20-year lease extension options, in a project valued at about $50 million, according to the city's ballot resolution.

For ownersOwners weighing a deal on city-owned land in Miami Beach may want to plan for voters having the final say.

Source: South Florida Business Journal, Nov 3, 2026

Page 3 of 7Miami to West Palm Beach editionWednesday, November 4, 2026The Cornerhold JournalNew York ›
Page 4 · New York edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Regional edition

New York

The five boroughs, Long Island, Westchester and northern New Jersey

Local marketsLatest, Sep 30

Manhattan office availability13.7%down 0.7

Manhattan asking rent, yr.$80.40

Manhattan Q3 office leasing7.10M sf

North and Central NJ industrial vacancy7.3%down 0.3

Sources: CBRE, Manhattan Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Manhattan office availability, Manhattan asking rent, yr., Manhattan Q3 office leasing); CBRE, Q3 2026 Northern and Central NJ Industrial Figures, Sep 30 (North and Central NJ industrial vacancy)

Office leasing

Vornado's Manhattan office leases averaged $123 a square foot in starting rent last quarter

The top of the Manhattan market keeps pulling away from commodity office.

Vornado signed 30 office leases totaling 489,000 square feet in the third quarter at an average starting rent of $123 per square foot and an average term of 9.5 years, Commercial Observer reported. New York office same-store net operating income rose 11.9%.

Funds from operations rose to $126.6 million from $114.5 million a year earlier, on revenue of $467.6 million, though the company also posted a $47.1 million net loss. Commercial Observer put year-to-date leasing at 1.6 million square feet.

Rents above $120 a foot at the top of the market show how wide the flight-to-quality gap has grown against commodity office.

Source: Commercial Observer, Nov 3, 2026

Office sales

Thor Equities closes its $217.5 million purchase of 1359 Broadway, about $448 a square foot

A big multi-tenant building near Herald Square trades below $450 a foot.

Thor Equities completed its $217.5 million acquisition of 1359 Broadway, a 22-story, 486,000 square foot office building near Herald Square, from Empire State Realty Trust, the buyer announced. That works out to roughly $448 a square foot.

Tenants include Progyny, Bloomsbury Publishing and Crown Castle, and Newmark will handle leasing for the new owner. The contract was first reported in August.

A sub-$450 trade on a large multi-tenant building is a useful comp for older, transit-served Midtown office outside trophy Park Avenue.

For ownersOwners of older Midtown office have a fresh large-building comp for appraisals and loan talks.

Source: Thor Equities Group (press release), Nov 2, 2026

Outdoor storage

Outpost buys two truck yards near Port Newark in Newark and Kearny for $68.5 million

Nearly 15 acres of outdoor storage trade, and one of the two yards is ready for a tenant.

Outpost acquired nearly 15 acres of industrial outdoor storage at 76 Central Ave. in Kearny and 2120 McCarter Hwy. in Newark for $68.5 million, the company announced. Real Estate NJ named the sellers as Meadow Partners and Criterion.

The 6.9-acre Newark trailer yard is fully leased to a Fortune 100 e-commerce and logistics company, while the 8-acre Kearny yard, with room for 234 containers, is available for lease.

The purchase is part of Outpost's $1 billion deployment into low-coverage industrial property.

For ownersOwners of low-coverage yards near the ports have an active institutional buyer in the market.

Sources: Outpost (press release), Nov 3, 2026; ROI-NJ, Nov 3, 2026

Office REITs

Empire State Realty Trust raises its outlook as its portfolio reaches 95.6% leased

Office leasing is carrying the results while observatory visits fall.

Empire State Realty Trust reported third-quarter Core FFO of $0.20 a share and raised its full-year guidance to $0.77 to $0.80, the company said. Its commercial portfolio was 95.6% leased, with blended office leasing spreads of 9.9%.

Observation deck net operating income was $15.6 million as visits fell about 26%.

New deals include Corgan's expansion to 41,192 square feet at the Empire State Building and Octaura's 28,914 square foot full floor at 111 W. 33rd St.

For ownersMidtown landlords with full floors coming up for renewal may want to compare their offers with spreads like these.

Sources: Empire State Realty Trust (press release), Nov 2, 2026; Business Wire (Empire State Realty Trust), Nov 2, 2026

Page 4 of 7New York editionWednesday, November 4, 2026The Cornerhold JournalAustin ›
Page 5 · Austin edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Regional edition

Austin

Travis, Williamson and Hays counties

Local marketsLatest, Oct 20

Austin office vacancy23.6%up 0.4

Office net absorption, Q3253K sf

Industrial net absorption, Q31.22M sf

Class A office asking rent, yr. (ECR)$39.61

Sources: CBRE, Austin Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Austin office vacancy, Office net absorption, Q3); CBRE, Austin Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Industrial net absorption, Q3); ECR, Oct 20 (Class A office asking rent, yr. (ECR))

Mall redevelopment

Riverside Resources plans a nine-building, 1.26 million square foot redevelopment of Northcross Mall

The North Austin site plan is still in city review, with no contractor, budget or start date.

Riverside Resources, which bought Northcross Mall at 2525 W. Anderson Lane in 2019, is pursuing a nine-building redevelopment totaling about 1.26 million square feet of housing, retail and office, Texas Construction Hub reported, citing Groundbreak.

The site plan was filed in February with KBGE as applicant and is still under city review. No contractor, budget or start date has been set.

Source: Texas Construction Hub, Nov 3, 2026

Office leasing

801 Barton Springs nearly fills after its owners shrank WeWork to two floors

SomeraRoad and Brick Row cut the master lease and built spec suites.

The new owners of 801 Barton Springs in South Austin, SomeraRoad and Brick Row, renegotiated WeWork's full-building lease down to two floors, the Austin Business Journal reported.

They built 10 spec suites and upgraded the exterior and ground floor, and the building is now nearly fully leased after a string of new tenants.

For ownersOwners with a single flex-office tenant may want to study this approach: cut the master lease and re-lease directly with move-in-ready suites.

Source: Austin Business Journal, Nov 3, 2026

Property tax

Austin voters approve $295 million in parks and library bonds

It was the first spending test since voters rejected the city's tax rate election last year.

Unofficial results show just over 61% of Austin voters approved Prop A, $260 million for parks, pools and land, and about 60% approved Prop B, $35 million for libraries, Austin Current reported. The package includes $35 million for parkland and greenway acquisition.

The city estimates a property tax increase of about $40 over several years for the average homeowner. The effect on commercial tax bills was not quantified.

For ownersAustin owners may want to watch the city's next budget for how the new bond debt shows up in the tax rate.

Sources: Austin Current, Nov 3, 2026; KUT, Nov 3, 2026

Page 7 · All editions

The Cornerhold Journal

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

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