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The Cornerhold Journal

MarketsLatest, Oct 30

10-year Treasury4.94%down 0.04

SOFR3.94%unchanged 0.00

30-year mortgage rate7.24%down 0.08

CMBS delinquency8.02%up 0.17

U.S. office vacancy18.2%down 0.1

Sources: U.S. Treasury, daily par yield curve rates, Oct 30 (10-year Treasury); Federal Reserve Bank of New York, SOFR, Oct 29 (SOFR); Freddie Mac, Primary Mortgage Market Survey, Oct 29 (30-year mortgage rate); Trepp, Sep 30 (CMBS delinquency); CBRE, Q3 2026 U.S. Office Market Report, Sep 30 (U.S. office vacancy)

Election day

Tuesday's midterms put data center fights, governor races and Florida's tax cut in front of voters

Ad spending against data centers and a string of state races make this a commercial real estate election as much as a political one.

Bisnow's preview of Tuesday's midterm elections counted $86.5 million in television ads attacking data centers that aired from July through September, a sign of how local the fight over hyperscale campuses has become.

The outlet is tracking nine governor races that will shape permitting and tax policy for commercial owners. Further down the ballot, contests such as Georgia's Public Service Commission seats will help set power policy for a data center pipeline of roughly 20 gigawatts.

Florida voters will also decide on a property tax cut. Taken together, Bisnow reported, the results will steer data center entitlements, utility rate cases and property tax bills in several of the markets this paper covers.

Sources: Bisnow, Nov 1, 2026; Bisnow, Nov 1, 2026

Lenders

Arbor Realty suspends its dividend after an $85.4 million quarterly loss

A bellwether bridge lender to apartment owners has moved into cash preservation, which points to more forced sales in multifamily.

Multifamily lender Arbor Realty Trust reported an $85.4 million loss for the third quarter, more nonperforming assets and an agency loan book that shrank to $819 million from $1.2 billion in the second quarter. It then suspended a dividend it had already cut to 17 cents.

According to Bisnow's coverage of the earnings call, management said the move frees about $60 million toward a $275 million loan payoff due in March, alongside roughly $150 million from sales and payoffs, $55 million of bank line leverage and $35 million from selling foreclosed assets. The shares fell more than 25%.

The chief executive said higher 10-year yields have cut multifamily values another 5% to 15%.

For ownersApartment owners with bridge debt from a stressed lender may find it worth asking early how extensions and payoffs will be handled.

Sources: Arbor Realty Trust (GlobeNewswire), Oct 30, 2026; Bisnow, Oct 30, 2026

Rates

Inflation ran at 3.6% in September, yet the 10-year Treasury still slipped below 5%

The Fed's favorite inflation measure ran hot, and long rates eased anyway.

The Fed's preferred inflation gauge rose 0.5% in September and 3.6% from a year earlier, well above the 2% target, CNBC reported. The figure landed a day after the Fed held its policy rate at 3.75% to 4%.

Bond yields fell anyway. CNBC put the 10-year Treasury about 6 basis points lower on Friday at roughly 4.93% during trading, with the 2-year near 4.59%. Treasury's official close for the 10-year was 4.94%.

Hot inflation keeps a December rate increase in play, but a 10-year under 5% takes some pressure off cap rates and refinancing math. October payrolls arrive this Friday.

For ownersBorrowers pricing a refinance may want their lender to quote against this week's yields after the jobs report.

Source: CNBC, Oct 30, 2026

Retail

Simon agrees to buy Seattle's University Village, a nearly 600,000 square foot open-air center

The top mall REIT is adding another trophy open-air center to its portfolio.

A Simon Property Group subsidiary signed an agreement to acquire University Village, an open-air center near the University of Washington with more than 100 businesses, including Apple, RH Gallery, Lululemon and Din Tai Fung.

The longtime owner grew the center from about 300,000 square feet to nearly 600,000 over more than 30 years. The price was not disclosed, and closing is expected in the fourth quarter of 2026.

The largest mall landlord keeps paying up for dominant open-air retail, widening the pricing gap between trophy centers and commodity strips.

For ownersOpen-air center owners may find this deal a useful marker when weighing the market for their own property.

Source: Simon (PR Newswire), Oct 30, 2026

Page 2 · Los Angeles to Ventura edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Monday, November 2, 2026

Regional edition

Los Angeles to Ventura

Los Angeles, Orange and Ventura counties

Local marketsLatest, Sep 30

L.A. office vacancy25.3%down 0.1

L.A. office asking rent, mo.$4.07

L.A. industrial vacancy5.0%down 0.2

O.C. industrial vacancy5.5%unchanged 0.0

O.C. retail vacancy (Colliers)3.55%down 0.25

Sources: CBRE, Los Angeles Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (L.A. office vacancy, L.A. office asking rent, mo.); CBRE, Los Angeles Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (L.A. industrial vacancy); CBRE, Orange County Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (O.C. industrial vacancy); Commercial Observer, Sep 30 (O.C. retail vacancy (Colliers))

Hotels

KSL Capital buys the Ritz-Carlton, Laguna Niguel in a deal estimated near $600 million

An estimated $1.6 million a key would set a high bar for Orange County coastal hospitality.

KSL Capital Partners closed Oct. 23 on the 373-key Ritz-Carlton, Laguna Niguel in Dana Point. The seller, Strategic Hotels and Resorts, finished a $50 million renovation in 2025 that cut the room count from 396.

The price was not disclosed. The Registry estimates it at close to $600 million, or roughly $1.6 million per key, against a 2026 assessed value of $447.6 million and a prior trade at an allocated $317.2 million. Peregrine Hospitality will run the resort.

If the estimate holds, it would rank among the priciest per-key resort sales on the West Coast.

Sources: The Registry SoCal, Oct 30, 2026; Orange County Business Journal, Oct 28, 2026

Ballot

Prop 45 would put deadlines on CEQA reviews and lawsuits for essential projects

A statewide measure on Tuesday's ballot could shorten the slowest part of building in California.

California's Proposition 45, on Tuesday's ballot, would label roads, bridges, certain housing, schools and broadband as essential infrastructure and set time limits on their environmental reviews and related lawsuits, Commercial Observer reported. The California Chamber of Commerce placed it on the ballot with backing from homebuilders.

A Chamber-funded study claims it would advance nearly 20,000 homes a year and save $1.5 billion. Supporters point to delays such as the $3.3 billion LAX People Mover, now pushed to early 2027.

If it passes, faster timelines could cut entitlement risk and carrying costs for Los Angeles area projects, though fights over how it is carried out are likely.

For ownersOwners with projects in entitlement may want to ask their land use counsel how a yes vote would change their timeline.

Source: Commercial Observer, Oct 30, 2026

Office

East Downtown office vacancy sits at 57.9% while the San Gabriel Valley holds at 8.2%

Two submarkets show how split the Los Angeles office market has become.

CBRE figures reported by The Registry show a gap of roughly 50 points between the emptiest and fullest office submarkets in Los Angeles: 57.9% vacancy in East Downtown against 8.2% in the San Gabriel Valley.

Even so, the emptier East Downtown market asks nearly twice the rent of the Valley, a sign that suburban, owner-occupied markets are holding up while the urban core struggles.

For ownersOffice owners may want to benchmark against their own submarket rather than the county average.

Source: The Registry SoCal, Oct 31, 2026

Development

Planning Commission approves the Riboli family's 225,000 square foot office complex near Chinatown Station

A rare speculative office project wins entitlements on a transit site at the edge of downtown.

The Los Angeles City Planning Commission approved a plan to replace a bus storage lot at 130 W. College St. with a five-story building of about 225,000 square feet of offices over 8,200 square feet of ground floor commercial space, plus a parking garage, Urbanize LA reported.

Grimshaw Architects designed the project, which includes a mid-block courtyard and a plaza at Alameda and College streets. The application was first filed in 2023, and no construction timeline or financing has been disclosed.

For ownersNearby owners may want to follow this one as a rare test of speculative office demand near transit.

Source: Urbanize LA, Oct 30, 2026

Page 3 · Miami to West Palm Beach edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Monday, November 2, 2026

Regional edition

Miami to West Palm Beach

Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties

Local marketsLatest, Sep 30

Miami office vacancy14.5%down 0.2

Miami office asking rent, yr.$70.62

Miami industrial vacancy6.9%down 0.4

Fort Lauderdale office vacancy18.8%

Broward industrial vacancy6.9%

Sources: CBRE, Miami Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Miami office vacancy, Miami office asking rent, yr.); CBRE, Miami Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Miami industrial vacancy); CBRE, Fort Lauderdale Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Fort Lauderdale office vacancy); CBRE, Broward Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Broward industrial vacancy)

Hotels

A Gencom-led venture buys the 652-room InterContinental Miami for $300 million

One of the year's largest South Florida hotel trades is another exit by a Chinese owner.

A joint venture led by Miami-based Gencom paid $300 million for the 34-story InterContinental at 100 Chopin Plaza on Biscayne Bay, roughly $460,000 per key, Commercial Observer reported.

China's Dajia Insurance Group had owned the 465,000 square foot hotel, which has about 90,000 square feet of event space, since 2005 and recently renovated it.

The deal comes about a year after Gencom bought the InterContinental Times Square for $230 million, and it sets a fresh per-key benchmark for full-service hotels downtown.

Source: Commercial Observer, Oct 30, 2026

Property tax

Florida's Amendment 3 tax cut could shift the burden back to commercial owners, advisers warn

A lower assessment cap is not the same as a lower tax bill.

Amendment 3, on Tuesday's Florida ballot, would cut the annual cap on assessment increases for non-homestead property from 10% to 5%.

Commercial Observer noted that local government budgets rose about 75% to $59.2 billion between 2019 and 2025. An adviser at the accounting firm Kaufman Rossin warned that counties needing revenue could make up the difference through higher millage rates that fall on commercial property.

For ownersOwners may want to ask their tax adviser how a millage change would affect next year's bill under either outcome.

Source: Commercial Observer, Nov 2, 2026

Industrial

Willis Lease Finance pays $117.9 million for Coconut Creek's Cocomar Business Park

A headquarters buyer paid nearly four times last year's price.

Broward County records show aviation lessor Willis Lease Finance paid $117.9 million for the Cocomar Business Park campus at 4733 to 4763 Atlantic Blvd. in Coconut Creek, The American Developer reported.

The price is nearly four times what Greystar paid for the property in 2025. Willis plans to use it as a headquarters campus.

For ownersNorth Broward owners may find this a notable data point on what headquarters users will pay.

Source: The American Developer, Oct 31, 2026

Zoning

Miami Beach rejects a 38-story Live Local Act plan for Southgate Towers

The ruling narrows how far the state law can be used on residential land.

Miami Beach's planning director ruled that the Southgate Towers site at 910 West Avenue is not eligible for Live Local Act approval because it is zoned residential, while the state law covers commercial, industrial and mixed-use land, The Real Deal reported.

The Blackstone-owned applicant proposed replacing two 14-story buildings with 495 units with twin 38-story towers of 442 units, including 178 workforce apartments. The decision can be appealed to the city's board of adjustment.

For ownersOwners weighing a Live Local project may want to confirm their site's zoning category first.

Source: The Real Deal, Oct 30, 2026

Page 3 of 7Miami to West Palm Beach editionMonday, November 2, 2026The Cornerhold JournalNew York ›
Page 4 · New York edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Monday, November 2, 2026

Regional edition

New York

The five boroughs, Long Island, Westchester and northern New Jersey

Local marketsLatest, Sep 30

Manhattan office availability13.7%down 0.7

Manhattan asking rent, yr.$80.40

Manhattan Q3 office leasing7.10M sf

North and Central NJ industrial vacancy7.3%down 0.3

Sources: CBRE, Manhattan Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Manhattan office availability, Manhattan asking rent, yr., Manhattan Q3 office leasing); CBRE, Q3 2026 Northern and Central NJ Industrial Figures, Sep 30 (North and Central NJ industrial vacancy)

Office

Weil Gotshal's wind-down puts its 447,000 square feet at the GM Building in play

A top law firm's collapse tests the credit trophy landlords have counted on.

Weil, Gotshal and Manges, a firm of roughly 1,200 lawyers with nearly $2.1 billion in revenue last year, said it will wind down after merger talks with Willkie Farr collapsed, Commercial Observer reported.

That leaves its 447,000 square feet at BXP's GM Building, leased through 2034, in question. Bisnow counted about 830,000 square feet the firm leases nationwide.

Law firms signed 12.2 million square feet of leases in the first half of 2026. A failure at the top of the field could change how trophy landlords view law firm credit, while freeing a rare large Class A block in a tight Manhattan market.

Sources: Commercial Observer, Oct 30, 2026; Bisnow, Oct 29, 2026

Ballot

Ballot Questions 3 and 4 would speed small-lot land use reviews and centralize permits

Two charter changes on Tuesday's ballot target the time it takes to get a project approved.

On Tuesday's ballot, Question 3 would let city-owned, non-landmark lots under 10,000 square feet, along with transfers of landmark development rights, go through an expedited review of about 90 days instead of roughly seven months, City Limits reported.

Question 4 would create a central permitting office within the Department of Buildings to coordinate about 40 permits issued by 18 agencies.

If both pass, entitlement and permitting time for small sites and air rights deals would shrink across the five boroughs.

For ownersOwners holding air rights or small sites may want to watch Tuesday's result before setting a filing schedule.

Source: City Limits, Oct 30, 2026

Leasing

Vedder Price takes the full 34th floor at 1221 Sixth Avenue, lifting the tower to 98% leased

Midtown's flight to quality keeps filling the best Sixth Avenue towers.

Law firm Vedder Price signed for about 49,000 square feet covering the entire 34th floor of Rockefeller Group's 2.6 million square foot 1221 Avenue of the Americas, the New York Post reported. It will move from 1633 Broadway in 2027.

Savills and Cushman and Wakefield brokered the deal, which leaves another Sixth Avenue trophy tower close to full.

For ownersOwners of older Midtown space may see more law firm tenants weigh moves to newer towers.

Source: New York Post, Nov 1, 2026

Retail

WS Development pays $109.5 million for Apple-anchored Tice's Corner in Woodcliff Lake

One of New Jersey's largest single-asset retail sales in a decade.

WS Development bought Tice's Corner, a 120,000 square foot lifestyle center on Chestnut Ridge Road in Bergen County, for $109.5 million, about $912 a square foot, Real Estate NJ reported. Apple anchors it, with Pottery Barn, Anthropologie and Free People.

The seller had held it for decades, and brokers said the off-market deal came together within days. WS plans to add brands, dining, wellness and events.

For ownersSuburban retail owners in affluent towns may find this price a strong comparable.

Sources: Real Estate NJ, Oct 30, 2026; Connect CRE, Oct 30, 2026

Page 4 of 7New York editionMonday, November 2, 2026The Cornerhold JournalAustin ›
Page 5 · Austin edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Monday, November 2, 2026

Regional edition

Austin

Travis, Williamson and Hays counties

Local marketsLatest, Oct 20

Austin office vacancy23.6%up 0.4

Office net absorption, Q3253K sf

Industrial net absorption, Q31.22M sf

Class A office asking rent, yr. (ECR)$39.61

Sources: CBRE, Austin Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Austin office vacancy, Office net absorption, Q3); CBRE, Austin Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Industrial net absorption, Q3); ECR, Oct 20 (Class A office asking rent, yr. (ECR))

Data centers

Austin moves to regulate data centers like restricted businesses, and a large-facility ban could get a vote Dec. 3

A city memo would treat data centers as a restricted use, with zoning limits to follow.

An Oct. 28 city staff memo lays out a two-step plan, KXAN reported. First, the city's business code would classify data centers with uses such as adult businesses that are restricted near homes. Zoning rules would follow, with a draft framework expected around spring 2027.

Council member Mike Siegel expects a ban on large data centers could be considered as soon as Dec. 3. Austin Energy reports 13 potential data center projects in contact, none above 75 megawatts.

The rules could push data center land demand out of the city into Williamson, Hays and Bastrop counties.

Sources: KXAN, Oct 30, 2026; City of Austin, Oct 28, 2026

Office

Cousins says its Austin portfolio is 97.1% leased after 180,000 square feet of deals

The Domain's largest landlord reports tech demand returning to top-tier space.

Cousins Properties signed about 180,000 square feet of Austin leases in the third quarter, roughly 77% to tech tenants, including a 76,000 square foot renewal at Domain 7, according to its results and earnings call.

The REIT also committed $31.5 million of preferred equity to Endeavor's 198,000 square foot 5th and Walsh office project downtown, and raised its 2026 FFO guidance to $2.95 to $2.99 a share.

For ownersClass A owners may see tech tenants come back first to the best buildings.

Sources: Cousins Properties (PR Newswire), Oct 29, 2026; The Motley Fool, earnings call transcript, Oct 30, 2026

Industrial

SpaceX starts more Bastrop County factories, including one planned at 2.14 million square feet

One of the metro's largest industrial projects keeps growing.

SpaceX has begun work on additional factories in Bastrop County east of Austin, the Austin Business Journal reported. One has a planned footprint of about 2.14 million square feet.

The expansion is tied to the company's plans for solar manufacturing and orbital data centers, and it ranks among the largest industrial build-outs in the metro.

For ownersIndustrial owners east of Austin may see supplier demand follow the build-out.

Source: Austin Business Journal, Oct 30, 2026

Page 7 · All editions

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Monday, November 2, 2026

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