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The Cornerhold Journal

MarketsLatest, Oct 23

10-year Treasury5.00%up 0.04

SOFR3.90%up 0.02

30-year mortgage rate7.32%down 0.08

CMBS delinquency8.02%up 0.17

U.S. office vacancy18.2%down 0.1

Sources: U.S. Treasury, daily par yield curve rates, Oct 23 (10-year Treasury); Federal Reserve Bank of New York, SOFR, Oct 22 (SOFR); Freddie Mac, Primary Mortgage Market Survey, Oct 22 (30-year mortgage rate); Trepp, Sep 30 (CMBS delinquency); CBRE, Q3 2026 U.S. Office Market Report, Sep 30 (U.S. office vacancy)

Capital markets

Higher long rates are slowing the deal recovery, the biggest landlords and brokers say

Earnings calls showed solid leasing in places, but buyers and lenders are now pricing deals off a 10-year Treasury near 5 percent.

The 10-year Treasury yield, a common benchmark for fixed-rate commercial loans, closed Friday at 5.00 percent, according to Treasury Department data. It reached 5.31 percent on Oct. 5, its highest close of the month so far.

On third-quarter earnings calls last week, the largest owners and service firms described the same strain. Blackstone said a historic jump in bond yields raised its cost of capital and weighed on deal activity, and its quarterly profit fell a little more than 9 percent, Commercial Observer reported. SL Green said rates had swung about 150 basis points during the year and put the impact on its results for the back half of the year at 25 cents.

CBRE still reported U.S. property sales up 37 percent in the quarter, according to CRE Daily's summary of its results. But its chief executive warned that rate volatility could keep investors on the sidelines, possibly until the second half of 2027, and CRE Daily reported that some deals are being repriced, canceled or turned into refinancings.

Sources: Commercial Observer, Oct 25, 2026; CRE Daily, Oct 23, 2026; U.S. Treasury, daily par yield curve rates, Oct 23, 2026

Industrial demand

Warehouse leasing posts its busiest quarter since 2022 as data center suppliers take space

National reports out Friday show demand returning, though the gains are uneven by building size.

Tenants signed 202.6 million square feet of industrial leases from July through September, up 38.5 percent from a year earlier and the most in any quarter since 2022, according to JLL data reported by Bisnow. JLL put national vacancy at 6.8 percent, down 80 basis points in a year. CBRE, which measures the market differently, reported vacancy of 6.4 percent and net absorption of 104.6 million square feet, its highest quarterly total since the fourth quarter of 2022.

Logistics firms are still the biggest users, but makers of construction materials and companies in power, communications and energy are taking a larger share, much of it tied to data center construction, Bisnow reported. Savills counted 69 million square feet of large-block leases signed by data-center-related businesses from the third quarter of 2024 through the second quarter of 2026.

CoStar's index of new industrial leases has returned to its historical peak while its renewal index has fallen, Connect CRE reported. A CoStar analyst cautioned that new leases do not turn into absorption one for one, because tenants who relocate leave space behind, and that midsize buildings still face excess supply.

For ownersOwners of midsize or older warehouses may want to compare their power and loading specs with what data center suppliers ask for before the next renewal talk.

Sources: Bisnow, Oct 23, 2026; CBRE, Q3 2026 U.S. Industrial and Logistics Market Report, Oct 23, 2026; Connect CRE, Oct 23, 2026

Supply chains

Electrical gear for large projects can take years to arrive, data center builders say

Transformers, switchgear and chillers are booked far ahead, and even basic materials like structural steel are slow to arrive.

Industry insiders at a Bisnow data center conference in Dallas this month said transformers can take up to three years to arrive, backup generators more than a year, and chillers, switchgear and backup power systems 12 to 18 months, Bisnow reported Sunday. Gas turbines can take a decade or more.

Basic materials are slow too: panelists cited six to eight months for optical fiber and about a year for structural steel. Builders are ordering long-lead equipment before designs are final or stockpiling it, which ties up cash and can raise project costs, according to the report.

For ownersPlanning a power upgrade, a new chiller or a large EV charging project? Ask your engineer for current lead times before you sign leases that depend on the work.

Source: Bisnow, Oct 25, 2026

Page 2 · Los Angeles to Ventura edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Monday, October 26, 2026

Regional edition

Los Angeles to Ventura

Los Angeles, Orange and Ventura counties

Local marketsLatest, Sep 30

L.A. office vacancy25.3%down 0.1

L.A. office asking rent, mo.$4.07

L.A. industrial vacancy5.0%down 0.2

O.C. industrial vacancy5.5%unchanged 0.0

O.C. retail vacancy (Colliers)3.55%down 0.25

Sources: CBRE, Los Angeles Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (L.A. office vacancy, L.A. office asking rent, mo.); CBRE, Los Angeles Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (L.A. industrial vacancy); CBRE, Orange County Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (O.C. industrial vacancy); Commercial Observer, Sep 30 (O.C. retail vacancy (Colliers))

Industrial sales

Rexford sells $1.3 billion of Southern California warehouses as its leasing rebounds

Once Southern California's biggest industrial buyer, Rexford is now one of its largest sellers, and it says rising Treasury yields are making buyers more selective.

Rexford Industrial sold 25 properties totaling 5.5 million square feet for $1.3 billion in the third quarter, including the $1.2 billion portfolio sale to EQT Real Estate it announced earlier, Commercial Observer reported from the REIT's earnings call Friday. Rexford made no acquisitions in the quarter and has sold $1.5 billion of property this year under a $2 billion plan.

Leasing picked up. The company signed 116 leases covering 3.74 million square feet, up from 2.1 million in the second quarter, and same-property occupancy rose to 96.9 percent from 94.9 percent. Net effective rent spreads on new leases were up 7.1 percent, after a 2.8 percent decline in the second quarter.

Rexford expects to finish most of the remaining $500 million of planned sales by year-end, but its chief executive said rising Treasury rates are raising the cost of capital for some buyers. The company also cut its 2026 development plan to 800,000 square feet from 1.2 million, and its finance chief warned that leases signed near the 2022 and 2023 market peak could hurt rent growth.

Source: Commercial Observer, Oct 23, 2026

Multifamily sales

Los Angeles County apartment sales are up 44 percent this year while rents stay flat

Colliers counts $3.3 billion of sales of larger buildings so far in 2026, at lower prices per unit.

Sales of apartment properties with 50 or more units in Los Angeles County reached $3.3 billion through the third quarter, up 44 percent from the same period of 2025, according to a Colliers report cited by Commercial Observer. The average price fell to $357,085 per unit.

Occupancy held at 94.1 percent, and average effective rent of $2,428 a month was back to where it stood a year earlier. Colliers tied the flat rents in part to new supply: 4,277 units were added in the quarter, while 23,426 were under construction at the end of September, down from 25,421 a year earlier.

For ownersWith more buyers active and the pipeline shrinking, apartment owners weighing a sale may want a fresh valuation; owners holding on can watch concessions in submarkets with heavy deliveries.

Source: Commercial Observer, Oct 21, 2026

Retail property

Orange County retail vacancy falls to a five-year low of 3.55 percent

Power centers are filling up, but lifestyle centers lost tenants, according to Colliers.

Orange County retail space absorbed 180,000 square feet in the third quarter, and vacancy fell 25 basis points to 3.55 percent, the lowest in five years, according to Colliers data reported by Commercial Observer. Average asking rent rose 3 percent from the prior quarter to $2.65 per square foot a month.

Power centers led the gains, while lifestyle and theme centers gave back 118,000 square feet. In Los Angeles County, vacancy held at 6.67 percent and net absorption slowed to 50,000 square feet; single-tenant buildings made up 40 percent of leasing but also lost about 135,000 square feet of occupancy.

For ownersOrange County center owners with renewals coming up have rare leverage, while lifestyle center owners may need a plan for space coming back.

Source: Commercial Observer, Oct 19, 2026

Page 3 · Miami to West Palm Beach edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Monday, October 26, 2026

Regional edition

Miami to West Palm Beach

Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties

Local marketsLatest, Sep 30

Miami office vacancy14.5%down 0.2

Miami office asking rent, yr.$70.62

Miami industrial vacancy6.9%down 0.4

Fort Lauderdale office vacancy18.8%

Broward industrial vacancy6.9%

Sources: CBRE, Miami Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Miami office vacancy, Miami office asking rent, yr.); CBRE, Miami Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Miami industrial vacancy); CBRE, Fort Lauderdale Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Fort Lauderdale office vacancy); CBRE, Broward Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Broward industrial vacancy)

Office sales

South Florida office towers are trading again, often near or below their old prices

Three sales in Fort Lauderdale and Boca Raton last week came in near or below what the sellers paid years ago.

Grover Corlew paid $69.7 million for 200 East Broward, a 21-story tower in downtown Fort Lauderdale, nearly 15 percent less than the $81.5 million Banyan Street Capital paid in 2017, according to Commercial Observer. The building is 75 percent occupied, and the buyer plans to spend $20 million over two years on upgrades, including an amenity deck with a gym and conference space.

In Boca Raton, Related Ross paid $64 million, about $181 per square foot, for North 40, two office buildings totaling 354,380 square feet across Yamato Road from the former IBM campus it bought in September, The Real Deal reported. The property last sold for $68.4 million in 2019 and is 74 percent leased.

Also in Boca Raton, CP Group and Harrison Street sold the 286,890-square-foot One Boca Place on Glades Road to Golden East Investors for $78.9 million, Commercial Observer reported, citing property records. That is little more than the $76.4 million the sellers paid in 2014. City National Bank of Florida lent the buyer $82.1 million.

The deals follow other discounted Fort Lauderdale trades, including Moishe Mana's $89 million purchase of 110 Tower in September, about 21 percent below what the seller paid a decade earlier, according to Commercial Observer.

Sources: Commercial Observer, Oct 23, 2026; Commercial Observer, Oct 22, 2026; The Real Deal, Oct 20, 2026

Grocery retail

Publix is buying the shopping centers it anchors, and paying cash

The grocer paid $83.3 million for Airpark Plaza in Miami as investors chase grocery-anchored centers.

Publix Super Markets paid $83.3 million for the 204,740-square-foot Airpark Plaza at 5705 NW Seventh Street, which JLL called the largest grocery-anchored retail sale in Miami-Dade in 20 years, The Real Deal reported. The seller, First Washington Realty, paid $32.9 million for it in 2008. Publix also bought the 82,500-square-foot Shoppes at Quail Roost from the same seller.

Publix owns more than 170 parcels across Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties with a combined just value of more than $2.2 billion, according to TRD's data, and it is buying without debt. Demand for the property type is broad: a JLL survey found 81 percent of investors are seeking grocery-anchored centers.

Other buyers are active too. Urban Edge Properties paid $90.3 million for the Publix-anchored Woodfield Plaza in Boca Raton, Commercial Observer reported; Invesco had bought it for $20.6 million in 1993.

For ownersIf Publix anchors your center, its interest in owning its stores changes your buyer pool; check your lease for any right of first refusal or first offer before marketing the property.

Sources: The Real Deal, Oct 23, 2026; Commercial Observer, Oct 19, 2026

Bank financing

Genting refinances Miami's Omni Center with a $500 million loan

Wells Fargo leads the lender group on the 1970s complex of offices, a Hilton and a garage.

Genting Americas took a $500 million loan to refinance the 1.5 million-square-foot Omni Center on Biscayne Boulevard near downtown Miami, with Wells Fargo acting as administrative agent for a lender group, according to mortgage documents cited by Commercial Observer. The 1970s complex includes about 435,000 square feet of office space, a 527-room Hilton and a 2,500-space garage.

Genting bought the property out of foreclosure for $180 million in 2011. Recent office leases include 26,000 square feet for Planet Fitness and 25,420 square feet for Skyline Financial. The company's neighboring 15-acre waterfront site remains mostly vacant after a $1.2 billion sale fell apart in 2023.

For ownersBank groups are still writing large refinancings in Miami for assets with several income streams, a useful data point if your loan matures in 2027.

Source: Commercial Observer, Oct 21, 2026

Page 3 of 7Miami to West Palm Beach editionMonday, October 26, 2026The Cornerhold JournalNew York ›
Page 4 · New York edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Monday, October 26, 2026

Regional edition

New York

The five boroughs, Long Island, Westchester and northern New Jersey

Local marketsLatest, Sep 30

Manhattan office availability13.7%down 0.7

Manhattan asking rent, yr.$80.40

Manhattan Q3 office leasing7.10M sf

North and Central NJ industrial vacancy7.3%down 0.3

Sources: CBRE, Manhattan Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Manhattan office availability, Manhattan asking rent, yr., Manhattan Q3 office leasing); CBRE, Q3 2026 Northern and Central NJ Industrial Figures, Sep 30 (North and Central NJ industrial vacancy)

Housing policy

City Council passes COPA, giving nonprofits first claim on some troubled apartment buildings

The narrowed bill reaches about 2,100 buildings and adds notice and offer periods before they can be sold.

The New York City Council approved the Community Opportunity to Purchase Act on Oct. 22 by a vote of 38 to 9, Bisnow reported. Owners of covered residential buildings would have to notify the city's housing department, HPD, and certified nonprofits when they plan to sell. Qualified buyers would get 20 days to express interest, 70 days to make a first offer and a right of first refusal on outside offers, according to the Council.

The final bill is narrower than earlier versions. It reaches an estimated 2,100 buildings, down from about 10,000 under prior drafts, The Real Deal reported. It covers buildings of up to 100 units with HPD regulatory agreements and buildings with records of distress, such as heavy violation counts or time in the city's alternative enforcement program, while buildings with 421-a or 485-x benefits are exempt, according to Bisnow and The Real Deal.

Owners can apply for an exemption by showing undue financial hardship, the Council said. HPD will have a year to write rules and list the nonprofits eligible to make offers, and the transaction window was trimmed to 145 days from 160, The Real Deal reported. Landlord groups opposed the bill, and brokers told TRD it could slow sales of affected buildings.

The bill now goes to Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who endorsed it in May, according to Bisnow.

Sources: New York City Council, Oct 22, 2026; The Real Deal, Oct 23, 2026; Bisnow, Oct 22, 2026

Construction finance

Griffin, Vornado and Rudin close a $3.3 billion construction loan for 350 Park Avenue

Citadel will take more than half of the 66-story tower, which is expected to open in 2032.

A lender group led by Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase made a $3.3 billion construction loan for the planned 66-story, 1.9 million-square-foot office tower at 350 Park Avenue, Commercial Observer reported. Ken Griffin holds 60 percent of the joint venture, Vornado 36 percent and Rudin 4 percent. The Real Deal reported that Bank of America, BMO, ING, PNC and Standard Chartered are also in the group.

Griffin's Citadel will lease 1.05 million square feet, leaving about 850,000 square feet on the upper floors to market, according to Commercial Observer, which cited the New York Post. Demolition is underway, and completion is expected in 2032, The Real Deal reported.

For ownersNew trophy supply on Park Avenue is not expected until 2032, which helps owners of top-tier Midtown space in the meantime.

Sources: Commercial Observer, Oct 21, 2026; The Real Deal, Oct 22, 2026

Capital markets

Manhattan investment sales fell 27 percent last quarter, but the year is still ahead of 2025

Avison Young says apartment deals and REIT buyers are carrying the market as development sales slow.

Manhattan investment sales fell 27 percent in the third quarter, to $2.5 billion, the second straight quarterly decline, according to Avison Young data reported by Commercial Observer. The number of sales through three quarters rose 22 percent to 273, and citywide dollar volume was up 13 percent at $16.2 billion.

Apartment buildings stood out, with year-to-date dollar volume up 74 percent and average price per square foot up 34 percent. Office made up nearly half of the quarter's volume. REITs accounted for 36 percent of dollar volume so far this year, up from 7.3 percent in 2025, while foreign buyers pulled back, and development site volume was down 17 percent year to date.

For ownersBuyers are still paying up for Manhattan apartments and leased offices, while development land is where pricing is weakest.

Source: Commercial Observer, Oct 22, 2026

Page 4 of 7New York editionMonday, October 26, 2026The Cornerhold JournalAustin ›
Page 5 · Austin edition

The Cornerhold Journal

Monday, October 26, 2026

Regional edition

Austin

Travis, Williamson and Hays counties

Local marketsLatest, Oct 20

Austin office vacancy23.6%up 0.4

Office net absorption, Q3253K sf

Industrial net absorption, Q31.22M sf

Class A office asking rent, yr. (ECR)$39.61

Sources: CBRE, Austin Office Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Austin office vacancy, Office net absorption, Q3); CBRE, Austin Industrial Figures Q3 2026, Sep 30 (Industrial net absorption, Q3); ECR, Oct 20 (Class A office asking rent, yr. (ECR))

Office market

Big leases land in Austin as the Class A office pipeline nearly runs dry

SolarWinds and Jackson Walker signed large leases in new towers, and ECR says only 227,707 square feet of office is still under construction.

SolarWinds signed a 100,000-square-foot lease at Zilker Point, 218 South Lamar Boulevard, for its new headquarters, the first tenant for the building since it was finished in 2024, The Real Deal reported, citing the Austin Business Journal. The company expects to move in during fall 2027 and has about 400 employees in Austin.

Downtown, the law firm Jackson Walker signed about 110,000 square feet on three floors of The Republic, the new 48-story tower owned by DivcoWest, Phoenix Property Group and Lincoln Property Co., REBusinessOnline reported.

The local brokerage ECR says Class A asking rents rose about 10 percent over the past year, to $39.61 per square foot from $36.01, and Class A sublease space fell about 40 percent. Only 227,707 square feet of office remains under construction, down from roughly 2 million a year ago. Class A vacancy is 4.2 percent in the Domain and 3.4 percent in West Central but 23.6 percent downtown, and about 6.1 million square feet of Class B space sits vacant at average asking rents of $24.93.

Sources: The Real Deal, Oct 23, 2026; REBusinessOnline, Oct 22, 2026; ECR, Oct 20, 2026

Multifamily sales

Brandywine sells its Solaris House apartments at Uptown ATX for $136 million

The 341-unit building opened in 2024 and sold at just over 90 percent occupancy.

Brandywine Realty Trust sold the 341-unit Solaris House at 2800 Solaris Street for $136 million, or about $398,800 a unit, in late September, The Real Deal reported, citing the Austin Business Journal. The building opened in 2024 and was just over 90 percent occupied at the sale; the buyer has not been named.

Brandywine set a goal of selling up to $300 million of real estate this year and earlier sold the 405 Colorado Street office tower downtown to Hines for $151 million. It is looking for a partner for One Uptown, the office tower next to Solaris.

For ownersA fresh comparable for owners of newer Austin apartment buildings: about $398,800 a unit at just over 90 percent occupancy.

Source: The Real Deal, Oct 23, 2026

Page 7 · All editions

The Cornerhold Journal

Monday, October 26, 2026

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